Bitcoin Price Prediction: What Is BTC’s Most Likely Scenario This Week?

Bitcoin continues to trade under heavy pressure after losing several key support levels in quick succession. The recent breakdown has pushed the asset into a significant demand region around $60K, while on-chain data suggests older coins are increasingly moving to exchanges, adding another layer of caution for market participants.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, BTC’s recent breakdown was followed by an aggressive selloff that pushed the price toward a major support zone between approximately $59K and $62K. This area previously acted as a strong accumulation region and is currently providing the first meaningful reaction from buyers. The latest candles show a modest bounce from the lows around $59.1K, but the recovery remains limited so far.

The broader structure remains bearish as long as Bitcoin trades below the former support area around $66K to $67K. Any recovery rally is likely to encounter resistance there first. Above that, the next major supply zone sits around $72K to $74K, which coincides with the breakdown region and could attract renewed selling pressure.

A sustained hold above $60K could allow for a relief rally, but reclaiming the $66K to $74K range would be necessary to improve the larger market structure. Failure to defend the current demand zone could expose Bitcoin to a deeper correction below the recent lows.

BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour chart provides a clearer view of the recent breakdown. Following the rejection, the price lost the key $72K to $74K supply area before breaking below the intermediate support around $65K. The selloff accelerated afterward, creating a sharp, impulsive move toward the blue demand zone near $60K.

For now, buyers are attempting to stabilize the market within this support region. However, the recent rebound appears corrective rather than impulsive. As long as Bitcoin remains below the broken support at $65K and beneath the former consolidation zone around $72K to $74K, the short-term trend favors the bears.

A recovery above $65K would be the first sign that downside momentum is weakening. Until then, traders will likely monitor the current support closely for either a stronger reversal or another leg lower.

Onchain Analysis

The Exchange Inflow Spent Output Age Bands chart reveals a noticeable increase in exchange deposits from older coins, particularly the 3-6 month and 6-12 month cohorts. Recent spikes are among the largest visible on the chart and have appeared while Bitcoin has been trending lower.

Historically, elevated exchange inflows from older holders can indicate growing distribution activity, as coins that have remained dormant for several months are moved back to exchanges where they can potentially be sold. While a single spike does not guarantee further downside, repeated inflow surges during a declining market often reflect weakening holder conviction.

The latest data suggests that medium-term holders have become increasingly active during the recent correction. If these inflows persist, they could continue to generate supply pressure and make a sustained recovery more difficult in the near term.

Overall, Bitcoin is attempting to defend a critical support zone around $60K to $62K. While a short-term bounce is underway, both market structure and on-chain activity suggest that bulls still face significant work before a broader trend reversal can be confirmed.

The post appeared first on CryptoPotato.

read the full story

JPMorgan: Strategy’s $1.7 Billion Dividend Bill Could Force More Bitcoin Sales

JPMorgan warned that Strategy’s ability to fund roughly $1.7 billion in annual dividends could…

Bitcoin’s “Electrical Cost” Floor Sits at $48,694: Is That the Bottom?

Bitcoin's Electrical Cost floor sits near $48,694. See where it ranks against key supports and the…

Bitcoin Hovers at $60,000 as Macro Headwinds Pile Up Fast

Bitcoin can’t seem to catch a break. The $60,000 level is holding — barely — and analysts…

Cardano founder pressed over 1,090 missing Bitcoin as ADA weekly losses top 25%

Thomas Braziel has asked Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson to clarify the status of about 1,090…

'Best thesis' for Bitcoin accumulation surfaces despite current downside risk: Analyst

Record-low Bitcoin RSI readings and whale accumulation highlight a generational buying opportunity,…

Bitcoin’s ‘Most Emotional’ Bear Market Phase Has Officially Begun: Analyst

Bitcoin has entered its most painful phase, and the BlackRock ETF launch region remains crucial,…

Bitcoin Recovery Needs This To Happen, Glassnode Analyst Reveals

The lead research analyst at Glassnode has highlighted how the Bitcoin supply clustered at the top…

Dave Portnoy Pushes Michael Saylor to Buy More Bitcoin as XRP and MSTR Losses Mount

Dave Portnoy wants Michael Saylor to spend more. A lot more. Portnoy, who’s been taking…

Giusta: Aliens More Probable than Bitcoin per $200,000

Canadian mining billionaire and vocal gold advocate Frank Giustra has mocked the cryptocurrency…

Bitcoin Rebounds Above $64K as Derivatives Traders Trigger $282.5M Liquidations

Bitcoin successfully reclaimed the $64,000 threshold, reversing a brutal multi-day rout that had…

For Bitcoin Giant Strategy, Cash Is Key to Calming Investors: JPMorgan

Strategy’s fortunes have long been tied to Bitcoin, but it now appears to rest on the greenback,…

Live updates: Bitcoin tops $63,000 as Strategy adds $100 million BTC in latest purchase

Meanwhile, Strive bought 32 bitcoin, the same number Strategy dumped last week.

Bitcoin Bear Case Builds: Analyst Targets $46,000 After Channel Break

Bitcoin clawed back above $59,000 last week. But don’t get too comfortable. Crypto analyst…

Morgan Stanley and Galaxy Launch Crypto Lending Pathway Into Bitcoin ETPs

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management has launched a referral arrangement with Galaxy Digital for…

Strategy Buys 1,550 Bitcoin for $101M After Small Sale, Lifting Holdings to 845,256 BTC

TL;DR: Strategy acquired 1,550 BTC for approximately $101.3 million between June 1 and 7, at an…

Coinbase Executive Says Institutions Love Bitcoin More at $60K Than $125K

Recent drop in Bitcoin below $60,000 have rattled some investors but institutional buyers are…

ChatGPT, Grok and Claude Predict Where Bitcoin, Ether, XRP and Solana Could Land by Dec. 31

2026 has delivered a difficult stretch for the crypto market, with each of the five largest crypto…

A $239B claim on dormant Bitcoin wallets faces a new obstacle after old address moves

A June 5 court stay and a June 2 spend turned the Noah Doe case into a test of legal title versus…